Your browser doesn't support javascript.
loading
Mostrar: 20 | 50 | 100
Resultados 1 - 20 de 108
Filtrar
1.
J Affect Disord ; 2024 May 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38734244

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Evidence supports the conceptualization of adult attachment as existing along a continuum of attachment security and insecurity; however, ongoing debates persist regarding the use of categorical versus continuous approaches to studying attachment. Attachment data collected from a large community sample of mothers and their offspring in young adulthood were used to examine i) latent classes of adult attachment, ii) associations between mother and offspring attachment, iii) the relationship between adult attachment and mental health symptoms. METHODS: Mothers and offspring were each administered the Attachment Style Questionnaire when offspring were aged 21-years. Latent class analyses (LCA) were performed to examine response patterns across ASQ items. Associations between mothers' and offspring attachment, and correlations between attachment domains and depression/anxiety subscales were examined. RESULTS: LCA identified four latent classes across a continuum of secure and insecure attachment rather than four distinct adult attachment styles. Anxious attachment subscales correlated strongly with depression/anxiety symptoms in both cohorts. Mothers' attachment was significantly but weakly correlated with their young adult offspring attachment. LIMITATIONS: Attachment was measured at one time point and as such, a causal maternal-offspring attachment relationship could not be established. CONCLUSIONS: Findings support a dimensional view of attachment security and insecurity over a four-category model of adult attachment. Attachment correlated with anxiety and depressive symptoms and highlights the importance of considering adult attachment when addressing mental health. There was limited evidence of a relationship between middle aged mothers and their offspring in young adulthood, suggesting other factors influence attachment in adulthood.

2.
EClinicalMedicine ; 70: 102517, 2024 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38516100

RESUMEN

Background: Repurposed drugs with host-directed antiviral and immunomodulatory properties have shown promise in the treatment of COVID-19, but few trials have studied combinations of these agents. The aim of this trial was to assess the effectiveness of affordable, widely available, repurposed drugs used in combination for treatment of COVID-19, which may be particularly relevant to low-resource countries. Methods: We conducted an open-label, randomized, outpatient, controlled trial in Thailand from October 1, 2021, to June 21, 2022, to assess whether early treatment within 48-h of symptoms onset with combinations of fluvoxamine, bromhexine, cyproheptadine, and niclosamide, given to adults with confirmed mild SARS-CoV-2 infection, can prevent 28-day clinical deterioration compared to standard care. Participants were randomly assigned to receive treatment with fluvoxamine alone, fluvoxamine + bromhexine, fluvoxamine + cyproheptadine, niclosamide + bromhexine, or standard care. The primary outcome measured was clinical deterioration within 9, 14, or 28 days using a 6-point ordinal scale. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT05087381). Findings: Among 1900 recruited, a total of 995 participants completed the trial. No participants had clinical deterioration by day 9, 14, or 28 days among those treated with fluvoxamine plus bromhexine (0%), fluvoxamine plus cyproheptadine (0%), or niclosamide plus bromhexine (0%). Nine participants (5.6%) in the fluvoxamine arm had clinical deterioration by day 28, requiring low-flow oxygen. In contrast, most standard care arm participants had clinical deterioration by 9, 14, and 28 days. By day 9, 32.7% (110) of patients in the standard care arm had been hospitalized without requiring supplemental oxygen but needing ongoing medical care. By day 28, this percentage increased to 37.5% (21). Additionally, 20.8% (70) of patients in the standard care arm required low-flow oxygen by day 9, and 12.5% (16) needed non-invasive or mechanical ventilation by day 28. All treated groups significantly differed from the standard care group by days 9, 14, and 28 (p < 0.0001). Also, by day 28, the three 2-drug treatments were significantly better than the fluvoxamine arm (p < 0.0001). No deaths occurred in any study group. Compared to standard care, participants treated with the combination agents had significantly decreased viral loads as early as day 3 of treatment (p < 0.0001), decreased levels of serum cytokines interleukin-6 (IL-6), tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α), and interleukin-1 beta (IL-1ß) as early as day 5 of treatment, and interleukin-8 (IL-8) by day 7 of treatment (p < 0.0001) and lower incidence of post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC) symptoms (p < 0.0001). 23 serious adverse events occurred in the standard care arm, while only 1 serious adverse event was reported in the fluvoxamine arm, and zero serious adverse events occurred in the other arms. Interpretation: Early treatment with these combinations among outpatients diagnosed with COVID-19 was associated with lower likelihood of clinical deterioration, and with significant and rapid reduction in the viral load and serum cytokines, and with lower burden of PASC symptoms. When started very soon after symptom onset, these repurposed drugs have high potential to prevent clinical deterioration and death in vaccinated and unvaccinated COVID-19 patients. Funding: Ped Thai Su Phai (Thai Ducks Fighting Danger) social giver group.

6.
iScience ; 27(3): 109043, 2024 Mar 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38375225

RESUMEN

This study investigated the potential of using SARS-CoV-2 viral concentrations in dust as an additional surveillance tool for early detection and monitoring of COVID-19 transmission. Dust samples were collected from 8 public locations in 16 districts of Bangkok, Thailand, from June to August 2021. SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentrations in dust were quantified, and their correlation with community case incidence was assessed. Our findings revealed a positive correlation between viral concentrations detected in dust and the relative risk of COVID-19. The highest risk was observed with no delay (0-day lag), and this risk gradually decreased as the lag time increased. We observed an overall decline in viral concentrations in public places during lockdown, closely associated with reduced human mobility. The effective reproduction number for COVID-19 transmission remained above one throughout the study period, suggesting that transmission may persist in locations beyond public areas even after the lockdown measures were in place.

7.
Trop Med Int Health ; 29(4): 257-265, 2024 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38263374

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: The burden of extra-pulmonary tuberculosis (EPTB) is not well quantified in TB endemic countries such as those in sub-Saharan Africa. This study aimed to quantify that burden via a systematic review of the prevalence of EPTB in African countries. METHODS: Studies were retrieved by searching five databases; 105 studies published between 1990 and 2023 were included. The studies described the prevalence of EPTB among the general population (4 studies), TB patients (68) and patients with other conditions, including HIV (15), meningitis (3), renal failure (3) and other comorbidities, some of which are cancer (12). Due to the low number of studies reporting EPTB in patients with conditions other than TB, the meta-analysis was performed on studies reporting on EPTB among TB patients (68 studies). Meta-analysis was performed on the 68 studies (271,073 participants) using a random-effects model to estimate the pooled prevalence of EPTB. Meta-regression was used to explore possible explanations for heterogeneity according to regions and time periods. RESULTS: The pooled prevalence of EPTB among TB patients was 26% (95% CI 23-29%). There was substantial heterogeneity of prevalence for the five African regions. The Eastern region had the highest prevalence of 32% (95% CI 28-37%) and the lowest in Western Africa, 16% (95% CI 10-24%). There was no significant difference in the prevalence of EPTB between the 3 eleven-year time periods. CONCLUSIONS: Our systematic review and meta-analysis give insight into the burden of EPTB in Africa. This review could inform clinical and programmatic practices-a higher suspicion index for clinicians and more effort for better services. This could contribute to efforts aiming to end TB, which have historically been focused on PTB.Coordinated efforts that target both EPTB and PTB are needed.


Asunto(s)
Tuberculosis Extrapulmonar , Tuberculosis , Humanos , Tuberculosis/epidemiología , Prevalencia , África del Sur del Sahara/epidemiología , África Occidental
8.
J Nephrol ; 37(1): 231-237, 2024 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37285006

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease progression to kidney failure is diverse, and progression may be different according to genetic aspects and settings of care. We aimed to describe kidney failure risk equation prognostic accuracy in an Australian population. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was undertaken in a public hospital community-based chronic kidney disease service in Brisbane, Australia, which included a cohort of 406 adult patients with chronic kidney disease Stages 3-4 followed up over 5 years (1/1/13-1/1/18). Risk of progression to kidney failure at baseline using Kidney Failure Risk Equation models with three (eGFR/age/sex), four (add urinary-ACR) and eight variables (add serum-albumin/phosphate/bicarbonate/calcium) at 5 and 2 years were compared to actual patient outcomes. RESULTS: Of 406 patients followed up over 5 years, 71 (17.5%) developed kidney failure, while 112 died before reaching kidney failure. The overall mean difference between observed and predicted risk was 0.51% (p = 0.659), 0.93% (p = 0.602), and - 0.03% (p = 0.967) for the three-, four- and eight-variable models, respectively. There was small improvement in the receiver operating characteristic-area under the curve from three-variable to four-variable models: 0.888 (95%CI = 0.819-0.957) versus 0.916 (95%CI = 0.847-0.985). The eight-variable model showed marginal receiver operating characteristic-area under the curve improvement: 0.916 (95%CI = 0.847-0.985) versus 0.922 (95%CI = 0.853-0.991). The results were similar in predicting 2 year risk of kidney failure. CONCLUSIONS: The kidney failure risk equation accurately predicted progression to kidney failure in an Australian chronic kidney disease population. Younger age, male sex, lower estimated glomerular filtration rate, higher albuminuria, diabetes mellitus, tobacco smoking and non-Caucasian ethnicity were associated with increased risk of kidney failure. Cause-specific cumulative incidence function for progression to kidney failure or death, stratified by chronic kidney disease stage, demonstrated differences within different chronic kidney disease stages, highlighting the interaction between comorbidity and outcome.


Asunto(s)
Fallo Renal Crónico , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica , Insuficiencia Renal , Adulto , Humanos , Masculino , Fallo Renal Crónico/epidemiología , Pruebas de Función Renal , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estudios de Cohortes , Australia/epidemiología , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/epidemiología , Insuficiencia Renal Crónica/complicaciones , Tasa de Filtración Glomerular , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Factores de Riesgo
9.
Women Birth ; 37(1): 159-165, 2024 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37598048

RESUMEN

PROBLEM: The perineal-bundle is a complex intervention widely implemented in Australian maternity care facilities. BACKGROUND: Most bundle components have limited or conflicting evidence and the implementation required many midwives to change their usual practice for preventing perineal trauma. AIM: To measure the effect of perineal bundle implementation on perineal injury for women having unassisted births with midwives. METHODS: A retrospective pre-post implementation study design to determine rates of second degree, severe perineal trauma, and episiotomy. Women who had an unassisted, singleton, cephalic vaginal birth at term between two time periods: January 2011 - November 2017 and August 2018 - August 2020 with a midwife or midwifery student accoucheur. We conducted logistic regression on the primary outcomes to control for confounding variables. FINDINGS: data from 20,155 births (pre-implementation) and 6273 (post-implementation) were analysed. After implementation, no significant difference in likelihood of severe perineal trauma was demonstrated (aOR 0.86, 95% CI 0.71-1.04, p = 0.124). Nulliparous women were more likely to receive an episiotomy (aOR 1.49 95% CI 1.31-1.70 p < 0.001) and multiparous women to suffer a second degree tear (aOR 1.18 95% CI 1.09-1.27 p < 0.001). DISCUSSION: This study adds to the growing body of literature which suggests a number of bundle components are ineffective, and some potentially harmful. Why, and how, the bundle was introduced at scale without a research framework to test efficacy and safety is a key concern. CONCLUSION: Suitably designed trials should be undertaken on all proposed individual or grouped perineal protection strategies prior to broad adoption.


Asunto(s)
Servicios de Salud Materna , Partería , Complicaciones del Trabajo de Parto , Paquetes de Atención al Paciente , Embarazo , Femenino , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Australia , Complicaciones del Trabajo de Parto/prevención & control , Episiotomía/efectos adversos , Perineo/lesiones
10.
Biology (Basel) ; 12(11)2023 Nov 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37998028

RESUMEN

Ross River virus (RRV) is the most common mosquito-borne disease in Australia, with Queensland recording high incidence rates (with an annual average incidence rate of 0.05% over the last 20 years). Accurate prediction of RRV incidence is critical for disease management and control. Many factors, including mosquito abundance, climate, weather, geographical factors, and socio-economic indices, can influence the RRV transmission cycle and thus have potential utility as predictors of RRV incidence. We collected mosquito data from the city councils of Brisbane, Redlands, and Mackay in Queensland, together with other meteorological and geographical data. Predictors were selected to build negative binomial generalised linear models for prediction. The models demonstrated excellent performance in Brisbane and Redlands but were less satisfactory in Mackay. Mosquito abundance was selected in the Brisbane model and can improve the predictive performance. Sufficient sample sizes of continuous mosquito data and RRV cases were essential for accurate and effective prediction, highlighting the importance of routine vector surveillance for disease management and control. Our results are consistent with variation in transmission cycles across different cities, and our study demonstrates the usefulness of mosquito surveillance data for predicting RRV incidence within small geographical areas.

13.
iScience ; 26(7): 107215, 2023 Jul 21.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37496674

RESUMEN

Developing an effective therapy to overcome carbapenemase-positive Klebsiella pneumoniae (CPKp) is an important therapeutic challenge that must be addressed urgently. Here, we explored a Ca-EDTA combination with aztreonam or ceftazidime-avibactam in vitro and in vivo against diverse CPKp clinical isolates. The synergy testing of this study demonstrated that novel aztreonam-Ca-EDTA or ceftazidime-avibactam-Ca-EDTA combination was significantly effective in eliminating planktonic and mature biofilms in vitro, as well as eradicating CPKp infections in vivo. Both combinations revealed significant therapeutic efficacies in reducing bacterial load in internal organs and protecting treated mice from mortality. Conclusively, this is the first in vitro and in vivo study to demonstrate that novel aztreonam-Ca-EDTA or ceftazidime-avibactam-Ca-EDTA combinations provide favorable efficacy and safety for successful eradication of carbapenemase-producing Klebsiella pneumoniae planktonic and biofilm infections.

14.
Am J Kidney Dis ; 82(5): 569-580.e1, 2023 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37385397

RESUMEN

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: There is limited information about the association between primary kidney disease and donor relatedness with transplant outcomes. This study addresses this gap by evaluating clinical outcomes after kidney transplantation in recipients of living donor kidneys as a function of primary kidney disease type and donor relatedness in Australia and New Zealand. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective observational study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Kidney transplant recipients who received allografts from living donors between January 1, 1998, and December 31, 2018, as recorded in the Australian and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant Registry (ANZDATA). EXPOSURES: Primary kidney disease type categorized as majority monogenic, minority monogenic, or other primary kidney disease based on disease heritability as well as donor relatedness. OUTCOME: Primary kidney disease recurrence, graft failure. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportion hazards regression to generate hazard ratios for primary kidney disease recurrence, allograft failure, and mortality. Partial likelihood ratio test was used to examine possible interactions between primary kidney disease type and donor relatedness for both study outcomes. RESULTS: Among 5,500 live donor kidney transplant recipients, majority monogenic (adjusted HR, 0.58, P<0.001) and minority monogenic primary kidney diseases (adjusted HR, 0.64, P<0.001) were associated with reduced primary kidney disease recurrence compared with other primary kidney diseases. Majority monogenic primary kidney disease was also associated with reduced allograft failure (adjusted HR, 0.86, P=0.04) compared with other primary kidney diseases. Donor relatedness was not associated with primary kidney disease recurrence nor graft failure. No interaction was detected between primary kidney disease type and donor relatedness for either study outcome. LIMITATIONS: Potential misclassification of primary kidney disease type, incomplete ascertainment of primary kidney disease recurrence, unmeasured confounding. CONCLUSIONS: Monogenic primary kidney disease is associated with lower rates of primary kidney disease recurrence and allograft failure. Donor relatedness was not associated with allograft outcomes. These results may inform pretransplant counseling and live donor selection. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: There are theoretical concerns that live-donor kidney transplants may be associated with increased risks of kidney disease recurrence and transplant failure due to unmeasurable shared genetic factors between the donor and the recipient. This study analyzed data from the Australia and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant (ANZDATA) registry and showed that, although disease type was associated with the risk of disease recurrence and transplant failure, donor relatedness did not impact transplant outcomes. These findings may inform pretransplant counseling and live donor selection.

15.
iScience ; 26(7): 107019, 2023 Jul 21.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37351501

RESUMEN

Equitable SARS-CoV-2 surveillance in low-resource communities lacking centralized sewers is critical as wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) progresses. However, large-scale studies on SARS-CoV-2 detection in wastewater from low-and middle-income countries is limited because of economic and technical reasons. In this study, wastewater samples were collected twice a month from 186 urban and rural subdistricts in nine provinces of Thailand mostly having decentralized and non-sewered sanitation infrastructure and analyzed for SARS-CoV-2 RNA variants using allele-specific RT-qPCR. Wastewater SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentration was used to estimate the real-time incidence and time-varying effective reproduction number (Re). Results showed an increase in SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentrations in wastewater from urban and rural areas 14-20 days earlier than infected individuals were officially reported. It also showed that community/food markets were "hot spots" for infected people. This approach offers an opportunity for early detection of transmission surges, allowing preparedness and potentially mitigating significant outbreaks at both spatial and temporal scales.

16.
Int J Nurs Stud ; 141: 104474, 2023 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36913911

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: How hospital clinicians facilitate breastfeeding in the first 48-72 h is critical to breastfeeding exclusivity and duration. Mothers who discharge hospital directly breastfeeding are more likely to continue exclusively breastfeeding at 3-months. OBJECTIVE: To assess the impact of facility-wide implementation of a physiological breastfeeding method (the Thompson method) on direct breastfeeding at hospital discharge and exclusive breastfeeding at 3-months of age. DESIGN: Multi-method design using interrupted time series analysis and surveys. SETTING(S): An Australian tertiary maternity hospital. PARTICIPANTS: 13,667 mother-baby pairs (interrupted time series analysis) and 495 postnatal mothers (surveys). METHODS: The Thompson method includes cradle position and hold, alignment of mouth-to-nipple, baby-led connection and seal, maternal fine-tuning for symmetry, and leisurely duration. We used a large pre-post implementation dataset and conducted interrupted time series analysis using a 24-month baseline period (January 2016 - December 2017); and a 15-month post-implementation period (April 2018 - June 2019). We recruited a sub-sample of women to complete surveys at hospital discharge and 3-months postpartum. Surveys were primarily used to measure impact of Thompson method on exclusive breastfeeding at 3-months, compared with a baseline survey conducted in same setting. RESULTS: Following implementation of the Thompson method, the declining trend in direct breastfeeding at hospital discharge was significantly averted by 0.39% each month relative to baseline (95% CI: 0.03% to 0.76%; p = 0.037). While the 3-month exclusive breastfeeding rate in the Thompson group was 3 percentage points higher than the baseline group; this result did not reach statistical significance. However, a subgroup analysis of women who discharged hospital exclusively breastfeeding revealed the relative odds of exclusive breastfeeding at 3-months in the Thompson group was 0.25 (95% CI: 0.17 to 0.38; p < 0.001), significantly better than the baseline group (Z = 3.23, p < 0.01) where the relative odds was only 0.07 (95% CI: 0.03 to 0.19; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Implementation of the Thompson method for well mother-baby pairs improved direct breastfeeding trends at hospital discharge. For women who discharged hospital exclusively breastfeeding, exposure to the Thompson method reduced the risk of exclusive breastfeeding discontinuation by 3-months. The positive impact of the method was potentially confounded by partial implementation and a parallel rise in birth interventions which undermine breastfeeding. We recommend strategies to strengthen clinician buy-in to the method, and future research using a cluster randomised trial design. TWEETABLE ABSTRACT: Facility-wide implementation of the Thompson method improves direct breastfeeding at hospital discharge and predicts breastfeeding exclusivity at 3-months.


Asunto(s)
Lactancia Materna , Madres , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Embarazo , Australia , Periodo Posparto , Centros de Atención Terciaria
17.
Transfusion ; 63(4): 724-736, 2023 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36807584

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Implementation of pathways to screen surgical patients for preoperative anemia and iron deficiency remains limited. This study sought to measure the impact of a theoretically informed, bespoke change package on improving the uptake of a Preoperative Anemia and Iron Deficiency Screening, Evaluation, and Management Pathway. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Pre-post interventional study using a type two hybrid-effectiveness design evaluated implementation. Four hundred (400) patient medical record reviews provided the dataset (200 pre- and 200-post implementation). The primary outcome measure was compliance with the pathway. Secondary outcome measures (clinical outcomes) were anemia on day of surgery, exposure to a red blood cell (RBC) transfusion, and hospital length of stay. Validated surveys facilitated data collection of implementation measures. Propensity score-adjusted analyses determined the effect of the intervention on clinical outcomes, and a cost analysis determined the economic impact. RESULTS: For the primary outcome, compliance improved significantly post-implementation (Odds Ratio 10.6 [95% CI 4.4-25.5] p < .000). In secondary outcomes, adjusted analyses point estimates showed clinical outcomes were slightly improved for anemia on day of surgery (Odds Ratio 0.792 [95% CI 0.5-1.3] p = .32), RBC transfusion (Odds Ratio 0.86 [95% CI 0.41-1.78] p = .69) and hospital length of stay (Hazard Ratio 0.96 [95% CI 0.77-1.18] p = .67), although these were not statistically significant. Cost savings of $13,340 per patient were realized. Implementation outcomes were favorable for acceptability, appropriateness, and feasibility. CONCLUSION: The change package significantly improved compliance. The absence of a statistically significant change in clinical outcomes may be because the study was powered to detect an improvement in compliance only. Further prospective studies with larger samples are needed. Cost savings of $13,340 per patient were achieved and the change package was viewed favorably.


Asunto(s)
Anemia , Deficiencias de Hierro , Humanos , Estudios Prospectivos , Cuidados Preoperatorios/métodos , Anemia/diagnóstico , Anemia/terapia , Transfusión de Eritrocitos
18.
Sci Total Environ ; 858(Pt 1): 159816, 2023 Feb 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36461562

RESUMEN

The monkeypox virus is excreted in the feces of infected individuals. Therefore, there is an interest in using viral load detection in wastewater for sentinel early surveillance at a community level and as a complementary approach to syndromic surveillance. We collected wastewater from 63 sewered and non-sewered locations in Bangkok city center between May and August 2022. Monkeypox viral DNA copy numbers were quantified using real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and confirmed positive by Sanger sequencing. Monkeypox viral DNA was first detected in wastewater from the second week of June 2022, with a mean copy number of 16.4 copies/ml (n = 3). From the first week of July, the number of viral DNA copies increased to a mean copy number of 45.92 copies/ml. Positive samples were Sanger sequenced and confirmed the presence of the monkeypox virus. Our study is the first to detect monkeypox viral DNA in wastewater from various locations within Thailand. Results suggest that this could be a complementary source for detecting viral DNA and predicting upcoming outbreaks.


Asunto(s)
Mpox , Humanos , Aguas Residuales , ADN Viral , Tailandia , Heces
19.
PeerJ ; 10: e14213, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36389410

RESUMEN

Transmission of Ross River virus (RRV) is influenced by climatic, environmental, and socio-economic factors. Accurate and robust predictions based on these factors are necessary for disease prevention and control. However, the complicated transmission cycle and the characteristics of RRV notification data present challenges. Studies to compare model performance are lacking. In this study, we used RRV notification data and exposure data from 2001 to 2020 in Queensland, Australia, and compared ten models (including generalised linear models, zero-inflated models, and generalised additive models) to predict RRV incidence in different regions of Queensland. We aimed to compare model performance and to evaluate the effect of statistical over-dispersion and zero-inflation of RRV surveillance data, and non-linearity of predictors on model fit. A variable selection strategy for screening important predictors was developed and was found to be efficient and able to generate consistent and reasonable numbers of predictors across regions and in all training sets. Negative binomial models generally exhibited better model fit than Poisson models, suggesting that over-dispersion in the data is the primary factor driving model fit compared to non-linearity of predictors and excess zeros. All models predicted the peak periods well but were unable to fit and predict the magnitude of peaks, especially when there were high numbers of cases. Adding new variables including historical RRV cases and mosquito abundance may improve model performance. The standard negative binomial generalised linear model is stable, simple, and effective in prediction, and is thus considered the best choice among all models.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Alphavirus , Virus del Río Ross , Animales , Humanos , Queensland/epidemiología , Incidencia , Infecciones por Alphavirus/epidemiología , Mosquitos Vectores , Australia/epidemiología
20.
Sci Rep ; 12(1): 12939, 2022 07 28.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35902639

RESUMEN

The global prevalence of colistin-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae (ColRkp) facilitated by chromosomal and plasmid-mediated Ara4N or PEtN-remodeled LPS alterations has steadily increased with increased colistin usage for treating carbapenem-resistant K. pneumoniae (CRkp). Our study demonstrated the rising trend of ColRkp showing extensively and pandrug-resistant characteristics among CRkp, with a prevalence of 28.5%, which was mediated by chromosomal mgrB, pmrB, or phoQ mutations (91.5%), and plasmid-mediated mcr-1.1, mcr-8.1, mcr-8.2 alone or in conjunction with R256G PmrB (8.5%). Several genetic alterations in mgrB (85.1%) with increased expressions of Ara4N-related phoPQ and pmrK were critical for establishing colistin resistance in our isolates. In this study, we discovered the significant associations between extensively drug-resistant bacteria (XDR) and pandrug-resistant bacteria (PDR) ColRkp in terms of moderate, weak or no biofilm-producing abilities, and altered expressions of virulence factors. These ColRkp would therefore be very challenging to treat, emphasizing for innovative therapy to combat these infections. Regardless of the underlying colistin-resistant mechanisms, colistin-EDTA combination therapy in this study produced potent synergistic effects in both in vitro and in vivo murine bacteremia, with no ColRkp regrowth and improved animal survival, implying the significance of colistin-EDTA combination therapy as systemic therapy for unlocking colistin resistance in ColRkp-associated bacteremia.


Asunto(s)
Bacteriemia , Enterobacteriaceae Resistentes a los Carbapenémicos , Infecciones por Klebsiella , Animales , Antibacterianos/farmacología , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Bacteriemia/tratamiento farmacológico , Proteínas Bacterianas/metabolismo , Enterobacteriaceae Resistentes a los Carbapenémicos/genética , Carbapenémicos/farmacología , Carbapenémicos/uso terapéutico , Colistina/farmacología , Colistina/uso terapéutico , Farmacorresistencia Bacteriana/genética , Ácido Edético/farmacología , Infecciones por Klebsiella/tratamiento farmacológico , Infecciones por Klebsiella/epidemiología , Infecciones por Klebsiella/microbiología , Klebsiella pneumoniae , Ratones , Pruebas de Sensibilidad Microbiana , Prevalencia
SELECCIÓN DE REFERENCIAS
DETALLE DE LA BÚSQUEDA